#4 Ohio State at #3 Penn State
Noon ET, FOX, Ohio State -3.5
By Billy Lowry
It feels a bit absurd to suggest that the head coach of a 7-0 team ranked #3 in the polls would need a win over #4. And that the coach of said 4th-ranked team, standing 6-1 with a 2-point loss at #1, would need a win on the road against #3. But for James Franklin and Ryan Day, perception is reality, and this weekend in Happy Valley is a big scoop of Cold Stone… Gotta Have It.
For the Nittany Lions, Saturday is all about exorcizing demons. Since taking over in 2014, Franklin’s program has clearly been the third best in the Big Ten. But against the two top dogs, he’s just 4-16. That includes 1-9 vs. Ohio State, and 0-5 against Ryan Day. They have lost 11 straight games to top-6 opponents. Not since James A. Beaver took his fourth wound during the Civil War and lost his leg has a proud Pennsylvanian took such a consistent beating. Beaver, of course, would go on to become Governor of the Commonwealth and later President of the University. Can’t keep a good man down. Some decades later they would name the football stadium after him… and no, it has nothing to do with hungry coeds.
If this Penn State team wants to prove they’re not just another spoke in the wheel, this is the game. They looked primed to do it. The defense is flatout awesome, and despite doubts about QB Drew Allar’s health, backup Beau Pribula (why does every Penn St. QB look exactly the fucking same?) stepped in brilliantly last week, providing a little extra with his legs that Wisconsin could not slow down. With a win this weekend, the Nittany Lions put themselves in the driver’s seat for the Big Ten Championship Game, and at worst, hosting an opener in the College Football Playoff. But a loss, even if they finish 11-1, feels like another unsatisfying year, and they will be a popular bet to bounce out early of the postseason.
A win for Ryan Day may ultimately be less fulfilling, but it’s another week fending off the wolves in Columbus. Nobody in America is having less fun than the Buckeye faithful, where sky high expectations and a $20 million dollar roster has made for an uptight fanbase with tighter sphincters. The Oregon loss might be forgivable. A Penn State loss would create a crisis. Dropping a deuce in only 8 games is unheard of at Ohio State, and hasn’t happened since before Urban Meyer arrived. They’ve only lost more than two games twice in 20 years. Now here they stand at disaster’s door. These are the matchups that Ohio State wins. Can this group rise to the occasion like so many Buckeye teams before them, or will they be remembered as the first great failure of the NIL era?
Badger Bill’s Pick: Ghosts of the past are hard to shake, and Franklin is already fussin’ over the kickoff time… To be fair, he’s not wrong. Why the hell are we still doing this, Fox?... I think the Buckeyes got caught looking ahead last week, while the Nittany Lions had to pour their hearts out in Madison. I know Ohio State is going to score. I don’t believe Penn State can keep up. Buckeyes 31-24